Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117 0.000124
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000091 0.000098 0.000106 0.000116 0.000126 0.000139
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000086 0.000094 0.000105 0.000117 0.000132 0.000150
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000084 0.000094 0.000107 0.000122 0.000141 0.000167
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000081 0.000091 0.000105 0.000123 0.000146 0.000177
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000077 0.000089 0.000104 0.000124 0.000149 0.000186
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000155 0.000199
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000075 0.000088 0.000106 0.000130 0.000164 0.000217
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000072 0.000085 0.000104 0.000129 0.000165 0.000224
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000069 0.000082 0.000100 0.000126 0.000164 0.000225
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000067 0.000080 0.000098 0.000124 0.000163 0.000229
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000094 0.000120 0.000158 0.000224
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123 0.000167 0.000245
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000097 0.000127 0.000176 0.000268
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000095 0.000127 0.000178 0.000279
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000097 0.000132 0.000190 0.000310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000096 0.000132 0.000193 0.000324
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000095 0.000131 0.000195 0.000337
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000095 0.000133 0.000202 0.000362
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000096 0.000137 0.000213 0.000401
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000095 0.000136 0.000213 0.000410
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000068 0.000092 0.000132 0.000209 0.000407
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000052 0.000066 0.000090 0.000130 0.000207 0.000410